GeoVeu · EU-centered geo-economic watch calendar

Bank of England MPC rate decision + Monetary Policy Report: July 2026

30 July 2026 · monetary policy · confidence: confirmed · status: scheduled · impact 4/5 · EU relevance 3/5

Why it matters

BoE decisions move sterling and gilt yields, shift UK-EU financial conditions and shape the rate differential the ECB prices against — the third leg of the ECB/Fed policy triangle this calendar already tracks.

What to watch

• Bank Rate decision and the MPC vote split.
• Monetary Policy Report, published alongside the decision: the MPC’s own inflation and growth projections, the assumed rate path, and how far the forecast diverges from the ECB’s and the Fed’s.
• Inflation, wage-growth and energy-price language versus the ECB and Fed readings.
• Sterling/euro reaction and any UK-EU financial-services regulatory signals.

Briefing

The BoE is expected to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in July, continuing the June hold, though the vote split (7–2 in June, with two members pushing for a 25bp hike) signals ongoing internal debate that could shift if inflation or wage-growth language hardens relative to ECB and Fed messaging.

Sources

• BoE Monetary Policy Summary: July 2026
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Report
• Bank of England monetary policy
• Bank of England MPC dates

Themes: Politics, Economy, Trade · Regions: EU, Global · Actors: Bank of England, UK Treasury watchers, Sterling and gilt markets, EU financial-conditions analysts

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Page regenerated 2026-07-27. Entries are pointers into sourced material, not a final authority — dates move and releases are revised. Machine-readable: llms.txt.