GeoVeu · EU-centered geo-economic watch calendar
German GDP detailed results: Q2 2026
25 August 2026 ·
macro statistics ·
confidence: confirmed ·
status: scheduled ·
impact 4/5 · EU relevance 5/5
Why it matters
GDP reporting is a macro signal for demand, fiscal space, industrial pressure and central-bank reaction functions. It also helps interpret trade shocks and strategic-sector data in context.
What to watch
- Growth momentum versus consensus and prior quarter.
- Demand mix: consumption, investment, inventories, government spending, exports and imports.
- Signals for ECB, Fed or Chinese policy response and spillovers into European industry.
Result captured
German GDP grew 0.3% in Q2 2026 on the previous quarter, price, seasonally and calendar adjusted, and +1.0% on the same quarter a year earlier. Composition: exports +2.0%, imports +1.5%, final consumption +0.1%, gross fixed capital formation -0.2%, machinery and equipment investment -1.4%, construction investment +0.1%, gross value added +0.4%, manufacturing value added +0.9%.
Previous: Previous related release (2026-07-30): German GDP grew 0.2% in Q2 2026 on the previous quarter, price, seasonally and calendar adjusted, and 0.9% on Q2 2025. Exports rose, while final consumption expenditure was subdued and capital formation declined.. Revision context: This release revises Q1 2026 growth up to +0.4% q/q from the +0.3% previously reported, and restates 2024 as stagnation (0.0%) rather than the 0.5% decline reported earlier. Prior consensus context: Consensus expects German GDP to stagnate in the second quarter, with 0.0% quarter-on-quarter growth. Prior interpretation: Growth slowed to 0.2% in Q2 from an upwardly revised 0.4% in Q1, but still beat a consensus that expected stagnation. Exports carried the quarter while final consumption expenditure was subdued and capital formation fell, so the composition is weaker than the headline.
The headline figure is 0.3%, up 0.1 points from 0.2% in the previous release.
Briefing
The upward revision of Q2 growth to 0.3% from 0.2%—combined with the upgrade of Q1 to 0.4%—establishes a more resilient demand trajectory than the flash estimate suggested, shifting the narrative from stalling to stabilization.
Sources
Themes: Politics, Economy, Trade · Regions: EU, Global · Actors: Destatis, German government, ECB, European Commission
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