OPEC+ production-policy meeting: 2 August 2026
Why it matters
OPEC+ output decisions set the oil-price backdrop for EU inflation, energy security and the terms-of-trade shock channel the ECB watches — quota surprises move Brent within minutes.
What to watch
- Production quota changes versus the expected roll-over.
- Compliance and compensation-cut language among the voluntary-cut eight.
- Brent/TTF reaction and read-across to euro-area inflation expectations.
Outcome
Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman agreed a 188,000 bpd production increase for September 2026, continuing the phased unwind of the additional voluntary cuts announced in April 2023 (Saudi Arabia and Russia +62,000 bpd each, Iraq +26,000, Kuwait +16,000, Kazakhstan +10,000, Algeria +6,000, Oman +5,000).
Sources
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