US CPI inflation release: September 2026 data
Why it matters
US CPI is the single print that most moves Fed expectations — and with them the dollar, global yields and the ECB’s imported-inflation and rate-differential calculus.
What to watch
- Headline and core m/m versus consensus; the 12-month rate versus the Fed’s 2% goal.
- Shelter, energy and tariff-sensitive goods components.
- Fed-pricing and EUR/USD reaction, and read-across to ECB rate-path expectations.
Sources
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